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Inflation Shocks & Real Rate Reset: What is pulling the lever on Equity Valuations (2021-2025)
For this analysis, Core PCE YoY percentage, 10Y TIPS, and S&P 500 E/P from trailing 12-month earnings were used to fundamentally understand the driving forces between equity valuations and the corresponding economic landscape from January 1st 2021 - November 1st 2025. During this period, equity valuations inhibited a full cycle, from 2022’s compression to a then re-expansion into 2025. To present a multifaceted answer, it’s important to understand how these variables connect
patricktscott11
Feb 16 min read


Market & Economic Snapshot - As of Fall 2025
Recalibration, Not Retreat The Economy The Federal Reserve continues to walk a fine line, balancing between unemployment ranging from 4.0%-4.2% and 2% YOY inflationary trends. Unemployment has hovered close to the policy goal range from January to September at 4.0%- 4.3%. On the contrary, YOY inflationary trends have shown stubbornness in their alignment with the 2% Fed marker, receding from 2.99% YOY Core PCE in December ‘24 to 2.61% in May ‘25, only to regain upward moment
patricktscott11
Oct 27, 20255 min read
De-Westernization, De-Dollarization and a New World Order– BRICS
The coalition of BRICS countries has now grown to ten members strong with the introduction of Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the UAE in 2024,...
patricktscott11
Jul 22, 20252 min read


The Monetary Trilemma: Fixed Exchange Rate, Free Capital Flow, or Independent Monetary Policy?
The Trilemma The Monetary Trilemma, also known as The Unholy Trinity, and the Impossible Trinity, is an economic principle first...
patricktscott11
Nov 15, 20242 min read
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